Friday, February 25, 2011

2011 Trade Deadline

1.  CHI trades James Johnson to TOR for a 2011 1st RD Pick (via MIA, currently #28) - He is extremely active defensively.  The problem is that he is just not a good offensive player.  I mean, really bad.  Perhaps he needs someone to set him up as Derrick Rose was often looking to create looks for himself and his teammates secondarily.

Year TEN+ TEN% Fair$ PER PER%
2010 80 -20 $2,365,965.39 10.4 -31
2011 72 -28 $2,279,865.62 8.9 -41

Wednesday, February 23, 2011

Carmelo Anthony Traded to Knicks in Nine Player Deal

The Denver Nuggets have traded Carmelo Anthony to the New York Knicks in a nine player deal.  It finally puts to bed the entire "Where will Carmelo get traded?" talk.

First off, Carmelo is a gifted scorer.  Umm, that is it.  He doesn't impact games in other ways, really.  Now, pair him with another defensive sieve, Amar'e Stoudemire, and you are just asking for trouble, imo.

Tuesday, February 22, 2011

2011 Team Capsule: Cleveland Cavaliers (All Star Break)

The 2010-11 Cleveland Cavaliers have been atrocious so far this season and their level of futility is noticed among American sports.  Perhaps it is because their main possession eaters are just not that good.  Perhaps it is because the role players are just not that good.  Perhaps it is because it is a collection of individuals in a team sport.

Sunday, February 20, 2011

2011 All-Star Team Selections

PLAYER (TEAM) POS. TEN+ TEN% Fair$ PER PER%
* LeBron James (Miami) F 193 93.0 $29,335,929.94 26.5 76.7
* Amar'e Stoudemire (New York) F 132 32.0 $13,423,062.94 23.9 59.3
* Dwyane Wade (Miami) G 161 61.0 $19,678,609.33 25.0 66.7
* Derrick Rose (Chicago) G 141 41.0 $14,048,483.11 23.3 55.3
* Dwight Howard (Orlando) C 137 37.0 $13,802,347.09 25.9 72.7
Ray Allen (Boston) G 95 -5.0 $7,725,283.11 17.3 15.3
Chris Bosh (Miami) F 99 -1.0 $7,659,845.94 19.4 29.3
Kevin Garnett (Boston) F 151 51.0 $15,154,639.92 20.8 38.7
Al Horford (Atlanta) C-F 130 30.0 $13,004,821.76 22.2 48.0
Joe Johnson (Atlanta) G 125 25.0 $12,363,200.04 18.3 22.0
Paul Pierce (Boston) F 140 40.0 $13,725,587.29 19.4 29.3
Rajon Rondo (Boston) G 181 81.0 $22,789,682.34 18.3 22.0
PLAYER (TEAM) POS. TEN+ TEN% Fair$ PER PER%
* Tim Duncan (San Antonio) F 144 44.0 $14,337,641.63 21.6 44.0
* Kevin Durant (Oklahoma City) F 163 63.0 $20,637,639.10 24.1 60.7
* Carmelo Anthony (Denver) F 114 14.0 $10,016,890.83 21.4 42.7
* Kobe Bryant (L.A. Lakers) G 157 57.0 $16,551,174.40 24.0 60.0
* Chris Paul (New Orleans) G 203 103.0 $31,416,243.87 24.6 64.0
Manu Ginobili (San Antonio) G 164 64.0 $18,414,782.89 21.7 44.7
Pau Gasol (L.A. Lakers) C 135 35.0 $13,711,425.50 23.7 58.0
# Blake Griffin (L.A. Clippers) F 132 32.0 $13,536,469.60 22.3 48.7
# Kevin Love (Minnesota) F-C 142 42.0 $14,167,320.39 24.3 62.0
Dirk Nowitzki (Dallas) F 137 37.0 $13,684,732.39 23.6 57.3
# Russell Westbrook (Oklahoma City) G 155 55.0 $19,798,903.93 23.9 59.3
Deron Williams (Utah) G 176 76.0 $23,292,505.63 22.1 47.3

* Starters
# First time All-Star

Saturday, February 19, 2011

All-Star Break: Top-10 PER (with TEN+ Comparison)

The All-Star festivities are upon us tonight.  I am watching the dunk contest but thought I would submit a quick comparison of Hollinger's top-10 PER with a side-by-side with TEN+.

Friday, February 18, 2011

Thursday, February 17, 2011

Kevin Garnett: The News of His Demise is Greatly Exaggerated

There has been some chatter around the Internet of late that Kevin Garnett was largely responsible for the Celtics pre-All Star break slide.  After incidents against Phoenix and Dallas, combined with losing five out of ten games, the sharks worked themselves into a mini-frenzy by recently stating that Garnett was coming up empty in the fourth quarter of games.  The period of games mentioned was from the 17th January Orlando game through the 10 February Laker game.

Wednesday, February 16, 2011

Nene Hilario

Nene is one of my favorite players in the NBA.  He plays on a fast-paced team, avoids turnovers, converts at a high rate around the basket and is easily top-5 in the NBA as a post defender.  His help defense is solid.

Tuesday, February 15, 2011

Opposition Starters

I did a study a while back where I attempted to tackle the problem of bench vs starters. Without getting too in-depth, the average player will see the following increases against Joe Dink, average bench player:

Monday, February 14, 2011

Advanced Statistical Scouting

Advanced Statistical Scouting (A.S.S.) is used as a quick and dirty way for me to check out a group of players who may be performing at a higher/lower level than what their statistics may not, at first glance, indicate. I would then proceed to investigate further.   Besides, it is fun to say that I like to pull numbers out of my ass.

Fair$, what is it?

The Fair Salary (Fair$) component of the TEN+ statistic allows for a quick glance of what a player would likely command on the open market.  There are a lot of factors that could affect the salary of a player such as role, injury history, age, lack of free agent options, etc.

Saturday, February 12, 2011

TEN+, A Closer Look

TEN+ is a professional basketball rating system that is similar in concept to OPS+
or ERA+ in baseball. Therefore, a "100" rating is the baseline for a starter-level
player. I have attempted to incorporate defense by using regression analysis of
on-court and off-court data. It is a pace-adjusted, per-minute evaluation tool.

Friday, February 11, 2011

Introduction

Hello visitors.

I am Hoop Geek.  I have created a basketball rating system that I call TEN+.  TEN+ is a hat-tip to the pioneers of advanced basketball statistical analysis such as Martin Manley (Tendex.)  The "+" signifies that is based on a 100 system similar to ERA+ or OPS+ in baseball sabermetrics.